Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
This is why xGF% has to be taken with a huge grain of salt - it is completely devoid of consideration for the player's offensive ability.
xGA% doesn't have the same problem to the same extent, because you have to assume that their opponents average out somewhat, with respect to finish (though still not entirely, as some players are always going to be up against good offensive players, and others are going to get easier assignments)
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Not sure I agree.
I think skill explains why a player can have a very different GF% to an xGF% with a lack of finish, or perhaps playing in front of a terrible goaltender driving a wedge between them.
But if a player has a very solid xGA60 number the counts against him when he's on the ice are supportive of not giving up much. As we've all discussed, I think the next layer for these stats is further splitting up the degree of danger into more categories, but for now it has to be a good thing to give up less.
Offensively he's had some odd games where the fourth line has had all kinds of chances but no finish.