Quote:
Originally Posted by Sliver
Honestly, I think you're both wrong.
I think Pointman's scenario is less likely than Putin expecting to have won and to of had victory messages queued up with media.
I think you're wrong to think communications for every scenario haven't been written. I used to work in communications for a public company. We had internal and external communications (press releases, web copy, shareholder messages, on-hold messages, spokesperson key points, etc.) for a couple dozen scenarios that could have affected our business.
I have recently thought about all our doom and gloom planning - accidents, war, equipment failure, terrorism, sabotage, etc - that we had poured hundreds of hours into planning communications around. We never did write anything for a pandemic and the idea never even came up as something to plan for. Hah.
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1. Sure Putin did expect to win. You don't start a war if you don't expect to win it.
2. It's quite possible that he did tell media to prepare victory articles, however such an order would be redundant given that media prepare articles for possible future outcomes anyway.
3. The fact that Russian news outlet had a victory article ready two days into the war, and accidentally published it, does not necessarily mean that Putin expected to win in two days.
4. Regardless, the whole Russian"operation" does seem naive and based on flawed if not puzzling assumptions. I can't comprehend what Russia was supposed to gain EVEN if Putin wins in two days.