Quote:
Originally Posted by Firebot
Russia simply doesn't have the logistics to effectively wage war the longer this goes.
The reason why you see Russian jets fall out of the sky at unrecoverable rates (they lost 4 in the past 24 hours) is because they are out of guided missiles and using dumb bombs, forcing them to fly closer to targets.
The majority of the recent damage is not being done by planes, but by artillery. Kyiv has been markedly quiet in recent days simply because Russia has lost the ability to inflict significant damage without heavy losses on their side as well.
And...even should Kharkiv and Kyiv fall, Russia has no means to occupy Ukraine. It has 100% of its invasion force in Ukraine right now. The decisive win just isn't happening, especially before Russia goes bankrupt. Time is not on Russia's side.
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I have been curious on end game. Does he push to defeat Ukraine and pull back, allowing him to govern by proxy with cloak and dagger over a ruined Ukraine? Thus he can say he succeeded in his goal of de-nazification? Then hope the West moves on like it always does, and re-invests in Russia?
Probably giving way to much credit here. Seems like a primal temper tantrum at this point as scary as it sounds.