Quote:
Originally Posted by Classic_Sniper
Lost his linemate Johnny Gaudreau. It's by far the biggest reason why is struggling right now. I mean, is it fair to assume that the NHL's primary points and even strength point producer could help turn Sean Monahan from what he is right now into an actual formidable scorer? If I replaced Johnny's name with Connor McDavid instead, would anyone bat an eye?
I know some people think it's injuries to his hips or his wrists, but didn't he rifle that blistering shot past Hellebuyck a couple weeks ago? Seems like there's still plenty of velocity on that shot of his. His skating also looks just fine, he's getting to the places he needs to be, he just lacks the necessary weapons in his arsenal to make things happen on his own now, which has always been his problem.
For me, I like to use his faceoff% as a bit of a gauge to his health. So it's Over the course of his career, we see that he typically sits around 51% to 52% range. Last year, he battled the hip injury, so it's no surprise to see that his faceoff % drastically fell to 48.99%, a major drop from the usual. In 17-18, I believe that's the season he had the wrist issue, so again, we see his faceoff % drop from the previous season's 51.45% to 50.39%, then rebound back to 51.13 the following season. That brings us to today, he sits at a career high 52.79%, a nearly 4% improvement from last year. Obviously, this isn't a perfect indicator, but there's some correlation in the numbers and it definitely beats the anecdotal stuff that's floating around. Faceoffs also engage the core, hips, wrists, hands and etc, so it does make some sense.
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There is no question that if he was playing with Johnny and Tkachuk he'd have more points that n]he does now, but Johnny and Tkachuk would have way less points, and Calgary might be a bubble team like last year.
Anyone would get more points being moved to Johnny's line.
But the fact is, one needs to earn their playing time on the top line and PP time. Monny was a detriment to the top line and moving him off it is a major factor in Calgary being such a good team this year.
The face-off percentages which range between 49% to 52% is 3 face-offs per 100 could be attributable to nothing more than random variance. There is likely a fair amount of randomness in actually winning a face-off, otherwise you might find the very best winning 75% or more.
Unless Monny's health improves greatly, he's likely done as anything other than a bottom 6 player.