out of thanks, but thanks for this...
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Originally Posted by Itse
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...780199937.html
Uncredited source so take with big pinches of salt, and even if valid it's just just opinion of one FSB analys, but an extremely interesting read touching on a lot topics, so I would still highly recommend reading it.
Basicly "confirming" many previously speculated things, including that the FSB and the military were kept largely in the dark until the attack actually started, meaning real preparations were not made and the Russian forces in Ukraine might be on the verge of collapse due to severe logistics issues.
Also "confirmation" that the Russian leadership was largely working on BS intelligence, provided by analysts who thought they were expected to deliver info telling everything would be hypothetically fine, all hail mother Russia, instead of proper detailed analysis.
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Some interesting quotes in here:
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Because we were told that we need to maximize our threats in order to negotiate an outcome through peace.
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This is Putin's playbook: make as many threats as you can, in order to win negotiations. Whether or not those threats a re at all real, doesn't matter.
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To offer further cynicism, I don’t believe that Putin will press the red button to destroy the entire world.
First, it’s not one person that decides, and someone will refuse. There are lots of people involved in the process and there is no single “red” button.
Second, there are certain doubts that it actually functions properly.
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To those thinking Putin will simply hit the button because he is a madman - it simply doesn't work like that.
Things are going to get a lot worse before they get better (as long as Putin is in power), but I think fears of a nuclear MAD scenario remains
extremely unlikely.