Quote:
Originally Posted by opendoor
Two reasons really:
1) There is a significant humanitarian cost to sanctions. Both millions of Russians who are directly affected and potentially billions of people in developing nations who are going to have reduced access to food and fuel because of rising prices.
2) If there is no plausible off ramp, then Russia's incentive is to inflict maximum damage, since there are unlikely to be additional consequences that result from that. The safest way for this to end is for Russian leadership to be convinced that deescalation is less costly than continuing the war. If the sanctions will never be lifted, then there is basically no cost to continuing the war and they will get increasingly desperate and dangerous.
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The plausible off ramp is withdraw forces back to Russian territory and leave the sovereign nation of Ukraine to make their own choices. Seems pretty easy.
As for point 1.... pointman doesn't seem concerned, and I have full faith in western nations to pick up the slack in the commodity markets. We've seen $150+ oil before.