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Old 03-02-2022, 05:42 PM   #259
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Originally Posted by Lanny_McDonald View Post
I'm get what you're saying, but not completely following you here boss. I don't mind you piling up the numbers for players outside the 1st round, but then saying that is later round pick success doesn't seem consistent. I would call a later round pick the 4th and after, and that may even be a little generous as some of those picks are still from the first half of the draft (mid-point now being pick 112, or the middle of the 4th round). The numbers are really on the back of four players (three 2nd rounders) from two drafts (although I suspect you might be counting Fox in our numbers too?). Just a little bit of a nitpick.
Honestly call it what you want.

Bader had the success of pick update today and a 2nd round pick has a 29.5% chance of playing and a 2.4% chance of being a star.

The Flames in this era drafted the following in the 2nd round ...

Andersson (1st pairing)
Dube (middle six)
Kylington (top four)

That's three impact players in what 5 years? They only had 5 2nd rounders in this era and hit on three of them in above average roles, with Kuznetsov still in the pipeline (unlikely to be impact).

That's a huge hit rate.

And why the hell wouldn't Fox count? I get the argument that if you trade a pick to a team you can't really use who they pick as the result because it's a different team spending draft capital, but the Flames stepped up and drafted a Norris winner with their pick. That's drafting. What happens after is unrelated.
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