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Originally Posted by WhiteTiger
In it's current generalized use, it's never been short for 'simpleton'.
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The “New Partridge Dictionary of Slang and Unconventional English,” defines it as a shortened version of simpleton, so the phrase’s original meaning is rooted in calling someone stupid. The dictionary lists its first known usage as 1946, though it appeared in The New York Times as early as 1923.
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https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/07/s...ory-slang.html
OK, so I wasn't all wrong. *Fuzz adjusts his onion belt*