I've been writing back and forth with my friend in Kyiv this evening. She lives maybe 15 km from where this big convoy is, and had not heard about it until now. It sounds like the Ukrainian military is not making efforts to advertise its existence, even though they obviously know about it since it's the worst-kept secret in the history of military invasions, apparently.
I don't know what to tell her to do, so have basically encouraged her to buy food, water, and power supplies if there's anywhere nearby for that, and to think of the nearest place with a deep underground parking garage or other reinforced concrete structure should her family need to leave their home for better shelter.
My biggest fear is that there's no face-saving for Putin now. No way for him to exit this situation gracefully, or to declare a victory, so he's just going to double-down and shell Kharkiv and Kyiv into submission. I hope this doesn't prove true, but have no faith this will be negotiated away in the next few days. I really think we haven't seen anything like the worst of it yet.
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