Quote:
Originally Posted by afc wimbledon
To be honest best case scenario for us and everyone else is Putin realises he's effed up badly, feels the rise of opposition at home and the united front abroad, sues for peace, and withdraws the troops, the west/Ukraine gives him some form of symbolic prize, a vote in the breakaway provinces under UN auspices or something so he can claim victory at home, the Ukraine says it isnt going to join NATO but makes no formal promise, pretty much back to the status quo except Putin and Russia's power is utterly broken, he becomes a wounded and weakened leader who will keep his head down and his mouth shut for his few remaining years in the Kremlin while China also learns that the west can and will pull together and so it backs them down a tad as well for a while.
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While that would be best for the west and our stability, It's not realistic.
1) Ukraine won't accept a compromise at this point. They're digging in.
2) The status quo was always heading here so long as Putin is in power as he sees Russian control of Ukraine as his only hope against NATO taking over Russia. He has spent this much to get here I don't see him going backwards even if between a rock and a hard place. He'd just invade again but try to be more ready