Quote:
Originally Posted by Erick Estrada
Isn't that more of an indictment of a single team's drafting record over the years than any proof that bottom half of the 1st round is overvalued? Clearly top 15 picks are more valuable but plenty of really good players get taken after.
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From a quick glance at history by pick I'd say early 20s picks have:
20% top half roster player
40% bottom half roster player
40% bust or <300 career games
With the odds skewing slightly with each pick...by 30 it's probably closer to a 10/35/55 breakdown.