Quote:
Originally Posted by Macindoc
...and, by comparison, they give TBL a much more impressive 55.6% probability of making the second round.
When I look at it, their model is so biased toward the home team winning that their playoff predictions are more or less the probability that the team with home ice advantage will lose one of their home dates, and they assume that the other team will almost automatically win all of theirs.
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Yes that's why I used it as an example, because being a contender can mean being one of the top 4 teams for some, and it could be being a top 10 team for others.
As for Tampa's odds that's because they are likely facing one of Florida, Toronto, or Boston in the first round. All are pretty decent teams. In comparison Colorado, Minnesota, and Carolina get better odds.
Playing against Edmonton, Ananheim, or LA seems like an easier series for the Flames. That said I don't use their odds as a bible just as a quick reference with a grain of salt added.