Quote:
Originally Posted by gvitaly
Just out of curiosity, if the Flames make the playoffs and lose in the first round are they still a contender? Because the previous iterations of this team have shown an inability to have success in the playoffs.
I'm not trying to poke holes in your logic, I just have a hard time gauging what a contender means for each person. For example Moneypuck has us as the best team in terms of their power rankings, but only gives us a 54.7% chance to get out of the first round. |
...and, by comparison, they give TBL a much more impressive 55.6% probability of making the second round.
When I look at it, their model is so biased toward the home team winning that their playoff predictions are more or less the probability that the team with home ice advantage will lose one of their home dates, and they assume that the other team will almost automatically win all of theirs.