[Sylvanfan]

Well Championship Sunday is here.


#4 Cincinnati at #2 Kansas City (-7) Total 54.5
1:00 Mountain Time, kick off Forecast 6°C, clear, and little wind

From what I can tell the side here is pretty even with Cinci maybe seeing a bit more money. In some places the line has gone to -7.5, so if you can still get that and want to back the Bengals jump on it. 10% of games do end up with the favorite winning by 7 points. Over 54.5 is the most public play of the 4 side/total options for the weekend.

The two teams played in week 17 with Cincinnati coming back for a 34-31 win. So the Bengals know they can beat the Chiefs. But in recent history the Chiefs always lose in Cincinatti and have tended to win big in Arrowhead. If the Bengals can get Chase in good matchups and Daniel Sorenson has to play a lot of snaps, than he could put up 200 yards again. But I think Cincinnati will want to try and control things and avoid falling behind again. Similarly I think the Chiefs will also run some longer drives too knowing the Bengals big play ability. I think the Bengals cover, and it comes in under the 54.5 total...I just hope the Chiefs win this one outright.

#6 San Francisco at #4 Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) Total 45.5
4:30 Mountain Time, Indoors at SoFi Stadium

In this one the public had not been too strong on either side with the Niners having a bit of an edge as the public dog. The public also appears to be backing under the total as the game did start out at around 47.

2 of the last 3 NFC reps in the Superbowl meetup for the 3rd time this season with the 49'ers having won both matchups. Well known that the 49'ers have won 6 straight against the Rams. The 49'er defense has been the best of the 4 remaining teams in the playoffs having held Dallas to 17 points and Throw Rogan and the Packers to a measly 10. The Rams looked unbeatable thru their first 6 and a half quarters outscoring their opponents 61-14, and 41-3 in first halfs. But than Brady seemed to conjure up some sort of Voodoo that resulted in the Rams needing a last minute Field Goal to get out of Tampa despite being up 24 points with about 22 minutes left in the game. The last meeting between these two saw the Rams out to a 17-0 lead...maybe bet big on the Rams to be up at the half. The QB battle is interesting as Stafford has been good in these playoffs and Jimmy G really has not. But Jimmy G has been here before and Stafford has not.

I'm going to be a fool and be on the Public side predicting that the 49'ers do as 14 of 22 teams before them have and win the third matchup after winning the first two. San Francisco wins 21-17 on a last minute T.D. Drive. Although I don't think I would bet the under here...this might be that crazy game that looks like it will go under all day, only to have the 4th quarter double up the total to get it over. That Chiefs and Bills game that had 78 points...very well may have ended up under if Buffalo doesn't get that TD on 4th and 13. That play essentially resulted in 31 points added to the total whereas if it doesn't go that way, the game may have ended 26-21 and well under. So maybe this game is like that only that the team down 21-17 scores a TD to make it 24-21, than the other teams drives to for a TD to make it 27-24 and screws up the extra point which results in a 27-27 game and final of 33-27. At which point the 60 point total looks like it went way over, but was very close to ending at 38.