The UK estimate is 100,000, so that is pretty inline with your estimate. As you mentioned, Russia's mobilization capabilities are impressive though and it is still a significant number.
I think if Russia was dead set on invading Ukraine, they wouldn't be telegraphing it this much. Having said that, it could be on their list of contingency plans. I don't see Putin as a master planner, but he is really good at assessing the present and capitalizes on opportunity.
Kind of unrelated, but I know someone in the military who recently got back from Latvia and he said the mood has definitely become more tense over the past few months.
__________________
"A pessimist thinks things can't get any worse. An optimist knows they can."
Last edited by FlamesAddiction; 01-18-2022 at 06:02 PM.
|