Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
You don't even have to score there. You can get a first down. It's 3 yards. It's very unlikely they'll be in anywhere near as good a situation to get the tying TD now. There's a totally reasonable possibility that you'll have your (quite excellent today) kicker in something resembling range.
I'd be interested in seeing the numbers but I cannot imagine they favoured the field goal. I doubt it'd even be close.
|
So going for it would have increased their WP by 0.9%. But since they only had 5% WP at that point it cost them 20% of their remaining WP. So you can feel right! I was more surprised to learn that going for it was only a 45% likely to convert, I would have thought for sure in 2022 that a 4th and 3 would be over 50% conversion rate.