[Senator Clay Davis]

It's not a tool though, it's not something you can rely on. If the other team has the ball in the last minute you're not able to use that tool. One score games are usually the baseline for looking at who will get better/worse the next year because there is significantly more variance in one score games then in blowouts. Fumble luck, clock luck, timeout management, quality of kicker, weather, one single penalty etc...It's not to say the Raiders can't win, but the Bengals at -5.5 is not even remotely out of line. I feel like the Bills -4 is more egregious for a line, the Bills dominated that second game and only lost the first one because of wind and one long Patriots TD. Feels like that should be Bills -7.