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Originally Posted by Fuzz
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Interesting. Thanks for the article. This part caught my eye:
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In reality, it is more properly considered to be one of the worst case emissions outcomes, as according to van Vuuren and colleagues, more than 90% of the other no-policy baseline scenarios in the literature result in lower emissions.
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However, I think the research is still valuable. I know they’re different areas of Earth Science, but in disciplines such as hydrology and hydrogeology, they use maximum flows for calculating Permits to Take Water, dewatering, ect. If they didn’t use “worst-case scenarios”, well, water management would be a disaster. Likewise, I think understanding the worst-possible scenarios are needed to be discussed, even if 90% of other outcomes are better than what was stated. Regardless, if they use RCP8.5 as a baseline, well I guess that isn’t a baseline then. Completely edited my post, my apologies. I ain’t no expert, that’s for damn sure.