Kazakhstan, while lamentable for it's people, will have no greater effect on the war posturing of the China/Russia axis vs West. Central asian dictatorship, not close to any allies, former soviet heartland... there's no reason at all for NATO or any western power to intervene. Criticize, no doubt. But Russia will just say that the US does (or did) this sort of thing all the time.
Ukraine is more problematic. Expressed interest to join Nato, multiple nato countries border it and are interested in supporting them against Russia, and it could be strategically valuable in a larger conflict.
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