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Old 01-02-2022, 02:37 PM   #511
Julio
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Join Date: Aug 2004
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fuzz View Post

http://ets.aeso.ca/ets_web/ip/Market...DReportServlet


Just a reminder what we are up against in Alberta. 6% solar production vs installed capacity. ~10% for wind. Coal still at 2000MW. Gas at 8000MW, so together they represent nearly all the power we generate, and we are short ~700MW that we get through imports. Swap that coal for gas, and add 20% for future growth and electric vehicles, and we NEED about 4000MW of new and replacement baseload,which looks to be gas by the end of the decade.

If you want to do that with solar and wind, we need to add either 10x more wind power, or, well, more solar than we probably have space or money for. Plus an unimaginable amount of batteries. And that's just for future growth.

Time to really get serious about nuclear if we want to even try to hold gas steady, and we better be getting go on it yesterday.

Agree about nuclear.
One note on solar, over half the generation on the AESO site (Travers) isn't up and running yet. So solar was at about 12% of installed generation. Wind of course is somewhat unpredictable (as I type this it's over 10% of generation)
In addition to nukes, a much larger inter tie with BC is needed for future growth/retiring fossil fuel production.
One thing I don't have knowledge of is if there are any future planes (or even the ability) to expand hydro production in Alberta. Hydro being at 1% is production is so much lower than any other province other than PEI.
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