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Originally Posted by JoseCuervo
2022 is looking like it might be a year where major conflicts break out across the the globe.
Russia has massed more then 100,000 troops on the border of Ukraine, and has support from Belarusian troops on Ukraine’s northern border. Will Russia invade again, and this time take way more territory then just Crimea and the Donbass? Will NATO get involved to back Ukraine if they do?
China has made it their policy to “reunite” with Taiwan. Many say an invasion could be launched in the weeks following the Winter Olympics. This would be a major conflict as the US and Japan have promised to support Taiwan if they do. China and India have also been massing troops on their shared border, and renewed conflict could break out at any time.
It is also looking more likely then ever that Israel will finally attack Iran to destroy its nuclear program, after talks between the US and Iran have broken down recently. An attack on Iran will certainly provoke a response across the Middle East, from direct Iranian retaliation, to using their proxies in Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria.
There is also a chance Azerbaijan and Armenian could return to conflict, after fighting a month long war in 2020. They have recently been fighting daily skirmishes along the new border.
I really hope none of these conflicts happen, but even if one of these scenarios becomes reality, there will be huge global repercussions.
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Keep your eye on Bosnia as well. Things are very fragile there right now.
Bosnian Serbs are being led by Serbia's president Vucic to pull out of the Bosnian Army to form their own, and will be boycotting paying taxes and supporting other federal institutions. Basically declaring separation with with out calling it that. Germany has threatened sanctions, Russia and China and pledged to support Serbia. The most recent hoopla was triggered when Bosnia passed a law to criminalize genocide denial which was supported by the Bosniak-Croat Federation but offended the the Serbian leader, Milorad Dodik. And of course, Putin has had his fingers in it.
https://www.rferl.org/a/bosnia-crise.../31612425.html