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Old 12-09-2021, 01:06 PM   #2969
GranteedEV
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Quote:
Originally Posted by timbit View Post
Whoa whoa...Mr. Non Bias!

“His line scores nearly 4 goals a game”???
I didn't mean that literally. Just an innattentive mistake.

When I say "line" I meant "5-man unit". and when I say "a game" I meant "per 60 minutes of 5v5 icetime"

The Panthers score 3.96 goals / sixty minutes when Sam Bennett is on the ice.

The Panthers allow 1.98 goals / sixty minutes when Sam Bennett is on the ice.

The Panthers have xGF (score-and-venue adj) of 60.31% when Bennett is on the ice.

Yes this is largely driven by the fact that he plays primarily with Huberdeau. The pair together in 216:07 have 3.89 GF/60 and 2.22 GA/60 with 57.88 xGF%

However, the Panthers with Huberdeau, yet without Bennett, in 95:15 are at 3.15 GF/60 and 4.41 GA/60 with 53.27 xGF%

The Panthers with Bennett but without Huberdeau, in 56:46 are at 4.23 GF/60 and 1.00 GA/60 with 67.52% xGF

Huberdeau is the markedly better offensive player, but Bennett is still driving chance differentials without him when centering others.

As for points, IPP explains a lot of it. No, Bennett probably won't rebound to that 4+ P/60 rate from last year (his IPP with Florida last year was an awesomely silly 100%), but rebounding to an average IPP of 66% would... double his 5v5 production. And 66% is actually lower than his career average.
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