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Old 11-24-2021, 11:26 AM   #16
mrkajz44
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Thought it would be interesting to check in on this now that we are 20 games into the season. The Flames stock has obviously risen, but by how much? They went from 1502 (where 1500 is average) all the way up to 1534, which is a pretty sizable jump as ELO can take some time to move in material amounts. Playoff changes have increased to 92% from 54% and cup chances improved from 2% to 5%.

The bad news? Still behind the Oilers in ELO, but just one point back!

Long story short: The model is essentially sold on the Flames being legit. The highest Stanley Cup odds are 14% and there are only 3 teams in double digits. The Flames are right there at 5% with a very good chance to make the playoffs and make some noise.

Preseaon:
ELO: 1502 (17th)
Playoffs: 54%
Cup: 2%
Projected Points: 91
Projected Goal Differential: 0

Game 20:
ELO: 1534 (8th)
Playoffs: 92%
Cup: 5%
Projected Points: 104
Projected Goal Differential: +47
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