Quote:
Originally Posted by Mathgod
Having a good xGF/60 means you're doing your job on the ice offensively. If you aren't scoring, you're at least skating well, being in the right places, opening up the ice and creating opportunities for your linemates to score. If a having a good xGF/60 isn't translating into good point totals, it's typically a sign that you're going through a stretch of bad luck and things will eventually even out with enough playing time.
Dube needs to be better defensively than he has been this year. No question about that. But he's not just riding the coattails of his linemates offensively, he's working well with his linemates to create chances, and if he keeps at it, the goals will come.
Expressing frustration with a player is not the same thing as hate. I don't hate Monahan - the furthest thing from it. I celebrate with a money hands image every time he scores a goal!
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No, it means that you have a good xGF/60. Period.
Everything else you said is your own projection.
The only thing the stat tells us is that a certain amount of offense has been generated, while that player was on the ice. The extent to which that player is involved or not involved, or whether they are driving or not driving the play, is completely unknown (and not material to the stat). How good, and effective, their line-mates were, is unknown. How good and effective at deterring offense the opposition players were, is completely unknown.
The only way to know what the xGF/60 numbers implies, for the player in question, is to watch them play, and see.
That's why (well, it's one reason) these stats are misused and misleading - they are largely team stats, and for a given player, they are impacted primarily by usage (line-mates, opportunity, and match-ups), and thus the numbers aren't as comparable between players, or as applicable to the individual, as people think they are.