Quote:
Originally Posted by Azure
Exponential is the wrong word, but there is an expected 1000% increase in battery deployment each year, and with that is coming record investment in R&D, and once the bigger players get on board there is no reason we shouldn't expect batteries to get exponentially better.
What happened over 2.5 decades and what happened the last 5 years is not comparable. Even 10 years ago nobody would have thought that we'd see 400km + range on a EV.
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This Deloitte report from 2011 proves otherwise...In fact this graph is not to far off at all.
https://www2.deloitte.com/content/da...les_100411.pdf
I just haven't read anything that would indicate battery performance drastically improving. It's still on a nice linear trend, which means by 2025 it will be better than now.
Most of the big battery players have been working on it for decades, this isn't a technology that is ripe for discoveries. A random breakthrough can change the game, but what we've seen over the past 25 years is incremental improvement to the original Li based battery, and I don't see any reason why that won't be carrying on at that pace in the future.