Quote:
Originally Posted by FanIn80
According to this, Seattle is currently the 8th best team in the league: https://moneypuck.com/power.htm
This ranking uses advanced stats to rank each team's "probability of beating an average NHL team."
I have a very rudimentary-at-best knowledge of what these stats mean, as well as the formulae used to calculate them. I have tried on a couple of occasions to figure it all out, but I can't seem to find a single source of truth that explains what each stat represents (other than just stating the non-abbreviated stat name), as well as each stat's formula.
So, to that end, my question is wtf is the deal with Seattle on this list?
They've played 9 games, have a 3-5-1 record and a .338 points %. Their goal differential is -5 and they lost their last game (MoneyPuck places a higher weighting on recency). Given all that, what is it about the stats used in this power ranking that makes Seattle the 8th most probable team in the NHL to beat an average NHL team?
Edit: Also, they have the 9th best odds of winning the Stanley Cup: https://moneypuck.com/predictions.htm |
Well their stats tell you that they have been out chancing and out shooting teams. Grubauer has struggled, he gave up 3.6 goals more than expected. That comes down to one soft(ish) goal every two games.
The other problem Seattle has, is that there are no elite forwards on that team. They create themselves opportunities, like the Flames did last year, but they don't have the finish to outgun teams. Actually most of the Flames' struggles last season can be applied to Seattle this year so far.
EDIT: Also their PP is 30th in the league with 10.3% which makes sense really if you look at their personnel. As for the last game they played against the Rangers Moneypuck actually has Seattle at ~84% deserving to win that game.