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Old 11-01-2021, 10:25 AM   #12
Hockey-and_stuff
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Join Date: Jun 2015
Location: Calgary
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Moneypuck is new to me. They are way more bullish on the Flames than most of the stat nerd guys. Most analytics sites had the Flames as a coin flip to make the playoffs to start the year, and their hot start has moved them up a little bit to around 65-70% as it stands today.

Those same analytics projected Seattle to be a strong play driving team with a good defense and strong goaltending. But that's all analytics are, simple projections. Seattle haven't gotten the expected goaltending, and they were missing their top C in Gourde. Now that he is back and the goaltending is showing some positive regression they look quite a bit better.

You should also know that most of these projections do not account for injuries so that will throw a wrench in things if teams lose guys throughout the season. I know for example, that JFresh simply plugs in all rookies as replacement level regardless of talent as well as he has no pro data to work with. These assumptions colour the overall projections but have a tendency to even out league wide over the course of a full season.
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