Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo
Nothing wrong with going with a total career. I think not looking at trends can be a mistake though.
With that said last year was a negative trend, and you could just go with that.
Don't think anyone is just picking out good games though. There was a pretty distinct change after the player got hurt, and then again when he adjusted to coming back.
The sample sizes aren't big so you can disregard them if you want, but it's not like someone is pulling out his best 20 starts and saying "See he's good!"
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I agree that you should be considering different data windows, trends and whole bodies of work, and also your direct observations, and building your view in as complete a manner as possible
I think it involves a lot of mental gymnastics to declare a guy as elite, who has never actually shown to be elite, consistently or at least repeatably