Quote:
Originally Posted by Strange Brew
I don't believe Markstrom's performance is better reflected by slicing and dicing his stats from last year, focusing on the good games, vs. looking at career performance.
Markstrom is 32 so I would say his career save % is rather indicative. Using your comparison, is he more likely to follow the Tim Thomas path who peaked in his later years, vs. a Carey Price who seems to be declining? I hope so but that's based on hope really, not evidence.
Seems to me there is evidence that Flames bought high on Markstrom and are likely to be disappointed in his play relative to his contract. Is Talbot at 60% of the AAV and half the term a better option? Looks like it so far.
|
Nothing wrong with going with a total career. I think not looking at trends can be a mistake though.
With that said last year was a negative trend, and you could just go with that.
Don't think anyone is just picking out good games though. There was a pretty distinct change after the player got hurt, and then again when he adjusted to coming back.
The sample sizes aren't big so you can disregard them if you want, but it's not like someone is pulling out his best 20 starts and saying "See he's good!"