Quote:
Originally Posted by Fan in Exile
Why don't you show me what you're relying on? One would expect corsi and SOG to correspond to wins but I can't find any analysis that bears that out. In fact, much of what I've reviewed indicates the opposite. For example:
https://medium.com/hockey-stats/are-...y-f8f8d16811bf |
It's not strong at predicting results in individual games.
But generally the teams that are better at CorsiFor and xGF over longer periods of time will be more successful than those that do not.
Here are the top 10 teams in the NHL over the past 3 seasons in CorsiFor and xGF%.
Corsi For:
1) Carolina
2) Montreal
3) Vegas
4) Colorado
5) Boston
6) Calgary
7) Tampa Bay
8) Toronto
9) San Jose
10) Nashville
xGF%:
1) Vegas
2) Carolina
3) Montreal
4) Tampa Bay
5) Colorado
6) Minnesota
7) Boston
8) Calgary
9) Dallas
10) Toronto
Those generally have been the best teams in the NHL over the same time period...with Washington and Pittsburgh being the exceptions that perform well while not controlling the shot attempts.
Here are couple of other articles:
http://hockey.greatapes.ca/index.php...cted-goals-is/