Quote:
Originally Posted by Bunk
One thing interesting about that Janet Brown poll is that Gondek still trails Farkas by 7 points by simple name recognition, yet still leads vote intent. Farkas started with much higher name recognition based on how he does things. This seems to be very good news for Gondek given that the more people that get to know her they seem to like what they're seeing. Farkas' ceiling isn't growing much. But, given that Farkas support leans older, and they more reliably show up to vote, Gondek still has more work to do to solidify a lead.
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Yeah, I think you're about right on that. Farkas was polling around 30% back in the spring and has never grown much beyond that. It definitely seems like he has his locked-in core, but hasn't been able to build on that and will need a favorable vote split. I'd expect that the large 'undecided' contingent fall into two camps: low propensity voters, and potential strategic voters who are waiting to decide between Gondek and their #1 choice.