Quote:
Originally Posted by Lanny_McDonald
Because that consistent lens flies in the face of professionals who evaluate the players on actual skills, which is all that counts. Your argument is like saying go to WebMD for medical advice instead of going to an actual doctor who knows how to evaluate a patient and make a proper diagnosis. The data set that evaluates the entire population is obviously better than the professional who actually knows what to look for!
The model is flawed because it does not take into consideration actual player skills and weaknesses. There are lots of one or two skill players who put up points, but got drafted late because of their lack of skills. In this model they provide a huge bump to the curve, even though their lack of skill means their game won't translate. It's why teams rely on scouts and not spreadsheets.
Yeah, I know. Still waiting on that incredible turnaround those "analytics" had you convinced was just around the corner and tried to sell to everyone. Snake oil. But keep selling it. There's lots of suckers out there who think those "statistics" mean something when clearly they don't.
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I'll never ignore what actual scouts say. I will hardily ignore what you have to say, especially when I know it's not coming from an honest place, it's coming from a need to stir things up on the internet.
But you get more information if you have hard data as well. And trends matter, production at certain levels often translates, or at very least you can see what the % of players that translate have to say.
I'm not selling anyone anything. I just report what's available and nothing more.
Your fear of simple event counting stats has always astounded me.