Quote:
Originally Posted by dissentowner
Advanced stats are nice tools but really prove nothing.What were the advanced stats on Backlund against the Avs in the playoffs when he was our worst player? What were the advanced stats for other clearly better two way C's like Barkov and Bergeron?
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by dissentowner
Because he wandered around like a lost puppy the whole series. He was terrible. Not the worst, who was worse in that series? This is freakin hilarious, the group bullying session is in as usual. I'm sorry, you are right, Backlund was an oak in that series.  |
Backlund (and Tkachuk for that matter) got Nathan Mackinnon'd + PDO'd in that series.
Head to head against Mackinnon that line was:
52.0% Corsi For
51.9% xGF
68.4% HDCF
But ended up 0 GF and 3 GA at 5v5 because they had a 0% shooting percentage, and a .870 save percentage when on the ice against Mackinnon.
Think a couple of those GA's were on odd-man rushes after Flames held possession too and our d-men made a bad decision at the blueline.
When Backlund wasn't on the ice against Mackinnon the Flames were:
32.9% Corsi For
18.3% xGF
5.56% HDCF% (1 HDCF, 17 HDCA !!!)
But ended up 1 GF and 0 GA because they had a 1.091 PDO in that time. Smith stood on his head, but only when Backlund/Tkachuk weren't on the ice.
So yeah moral of the story is that the actual GF/GA can be somewhat random in such a small sample size, especially against one of the best players in the world.
In the end though over the long haul the Flames were in a much better position with Backlund (and Tkachuk) on the ice than they were with any other Flames forward combination against Mackinnon in that series. Even if they ended up being a little unlucky when it came to the actual results.
The top forwards felt the blame for that series...when really it was the bottom 6 that got caved in.
Jankowski - 20.9% xGF
Neal - 33.4% xGF
Ryan - 36.5% xGF
Bennett - 37.8% xGF
Frolik - 38.4% xGF
Hathaway - 38.7% xGF
All of those guys didn't have to go head to head against Mackinnon, and they were still all caved in finishing with xGF% below 40%. Also worth noting that not a single player listed there still plays for the Flames.