Quote:
Originally Posted by CliffFletcher
As GordonBlue says, the problem is a global system that’s calibrated to be extremely efficient during optimal conditions, but is so fragile that it breaks down if conditions become sub-optimal due to a global disruption. It isn’t just container ships, but microchips and other critical material.
So how do we factor these once or twice a decade catastrophes into the global trade system? Or do we just keep the machine calibrated to optimal conditions and take it on the chin if there’s a war, another pandemic, etc?
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Thats true, but the system is also self-healing.
Lumber prices were absolutely ridiculous for awhile there. Then mills got re-started and people decided to hold off on that new fence for a year. Now they've come way down again to something much more reasonable.
The same thing will happen with container shipping and microchips, the lead time is just longer because they're more complicated.