Quote:
Originally Posted by ricardodw
Good News: Sutter's teams In LA were spectacular fancy stats, the top 1 or 2 in the league for his SC, won 2 rounds, SC 3 year run
Bad News: Sutter's teams In LA were spectacular fancy stats the top 1 or 2 in the league for his Miss the playoffs, out in round one, miss the playoffs and get fired 3 year run
Things to think about:
In 2017-18 where the Flames finished 17th in the league they were #5 in SAT% and #5 in USAT% (the base shot counting that drives all fancy stats that NHL.com reports on)
In 2018-19 where the Flames were tied for 2nd in the league they were 5/6 in the fancy stats
In 2019-20 where Flames were tied for 18th in the league they were 15/18 in fancy stats
In 2020-21 where the Flames were tied for 20th in the league the Flames were 7/8 in the fancy stats.
Hard to find a correlation between fancy stats and winning hockey games in both Sutter's personal record and the recent Flames history.
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Out playing the opposition isn't a guarantee that you win. Happens in all aspects of life.
This argument gets so old.
Last season 8 of the top 10 teams in xGF% 5on5 were in the playoffs
Year before 8 out of 10
Year before that 9 out of 10
Teams that out play the opposition tend to do well, but if a team lacks the quality to finish, or doesn't have the goaltending to meet the average expected performance they can get in trouble.
If you don't have all world talent, not a bad idea to have a coach that can get the most out of what you have.
Under Sutter the Flames were 3rd in 5on5 xGF%, a great number but their 5on5 save percentage was 25th. If Markstrom struggles again this year (injuries etc) than I don't think they have the fire power to out score below average goaltending. If he's above average though (or even average honestly) they likely can generate enough to be a playoff team, maybe even better.