Quote:
Originally Posted by saillias
To those who follow analytics and the Jfresh style of charts and their predecessors. People were noticing that Monahan's game really dropped off in the 2nd half of that season.
There's this ongoing argument in the fandom where people say "oh but you had no idea Monahan was going to decline after the 82 point season." That's not really true, this information is out there but I understand some don't like to follow it & think it's lacking and that's certainly your right.
But a GM should be AHEAD of the curve with this kind of information, not behind some hobbyists on twitter with patreons.
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There was going to some reversion to mean though and it was expected and happened. I don't think any one could have confidently said that Monahan was going to suck as much as did the following season without the benefit of hindsight.
Even if don't buy that and think that a GM should have known and been proactive then every GM would know that Monahan was going to regress and value for him was not going to be worthwhile enough in a trade on a non-rebuilding team.