Quote:
Originally Posted by Sylvanfan
Often I hear people ask what happened to guys like Gaudreau and Monahan that they haven't been the same the last 2 1/2 seasons as they were for before that. For both guys, and Gaudreau in particular, his play in this time is not that different than the rest of his career if you take away a 30 game stretch in 18-19 as the outlier. From games 20 to 50, Gaudreau put up 53 points in 30 games which was a 145 point pace if sustained over 82 games. Over the rest of the season he had 46 points in 52 games, which is about a 72 point pace. Monahan had 41 in that same stretch, and 62 in his first 50 games that season. Depending how you want to see it, he had 20 points in the last 32 or 41 points outside of that 30 game heater or really strong first 50. Which are both not too far off of the other numbers he had put up in his career leading up to that.
Really if you take that 30 game heater away from both players, you do see that both of them are not as far off production wise as they have been the rest of their careers. But I think a small 30 game sample size caused a few people to think that's what they could/should be when it's not.
This tells me that Gaudreau is less a problem than Monahan's play falling off a cliff has been. I would extend Gaudreau for a raise in pay. Monahan right now, after this deal...may find another 5 million dollar a year deal hard to come by.
I do think that Treliving might actually know this, but I'm not so sure the guy signing his pay cheque believes it, and still thinks that 30 game heater is what this team should be doing with this group. I'm of the opinion that what we've seen for the majority of the last 5 years is what the team is, and that's middling to slightly better than middling and it's time to change things up.
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Take any player's best 30 games away and their numbers are going to drop.
What does Mangiapane look like when you do that?