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Originally Posted by 14Roman14
I guess I’m basing it on the fact that I know at least 10 people who have got covid(myself and my wife included) and recovered fully from it with zero issues other than lost time off work and school. I know of one person in my community that passed from covid but he also smoked, drank and did hard drugs most of his life and any illness would have been hard on his system. The cure for covid was stay home and isolate and very few required treatment further than how they treat themselves going through a regular flu. I know of at least two people that took the shot and developed blood clots and died from the vaccine.
If I don’t take the vaccine I have zero percent chance at the side effects from it. If I do then I may or may not minimize my chances of covid(which is not fearful in my opinion) but also open up a new can of worms.
I may be wrong or I may be right. I guess I’m basing it off personal experience as much as possible and feeling that natural immunity has zero side effects and also reduces the chance of reinfection and transmission, but will not let one into a hockey game like vaccine immunity.
What calculations did you use to make your medical decisions?
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To decide if Astrazenica was the correct choice I took risk of developing blood clots from the vaccine vs risk of hospitalization from Covid times the likelihood of getting Covid in the 1 month delay. It worked out that taking Astrazenica decreased risk of hospitalization. For vaccination in general I took my age group risk of hospitalization versus the rates of hospitalization from vaccination assuming that choosing to not be vaccinated is choosing to get Covid.
Which means for a 40-49 year old I have a 3/100 chance of hospitalization and a 1/1000 chance of death if I do not get vaccinated. Given the billions of doses given its clear on a short term basis that vaccination is the better choice.
For long term risks I took the history of vaccination into account that vaccines cause short term problems and not long term ones. There just isn’t any mNRA left to cause problems. Along with that I looked at the overall Covid risks and put the 3/100 chance of hospitalizations and unknown amount of long term damage from Covid against the unknown risk from the vaccine long term.
I think when you say if you don’t take the vaccine you have a 0% risk of side affects you miss the other half of the statement that you increase your risk from Covid 10x. So by choosing to not get a vaccine you are assuming that the long term risk of a vaccine is greater than the short term risk of getting Covid. So if you are 30-40 you are making a bet that 1/3000 people will die from the Covid vaccine in order for you to be better off not getting it.
That’s my thought process, probabilities are from the severe outcomes tab on the Alberta website.