Quote:
Originally Posted by rubecube
There were experts back then who basically predicted this would be the outcome. This wasn't completely unknown, but the Bush administration and neocons in general have always had a love affair with trusting gut instinct over expert advice.
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Well yeah I'm sure there are people that predict almost every scenario. It's not like the Bush administration couldn't fathom that this was a possibility even back then, but you have to proceed based on the current situation and the fact that the Taliban was just not group that deserved to have peace negotiations. A lot of the early hand wringing was based on the "graveyard of empires" stuff though. History isn't guaranteed to repeat.
There are policy decisions that are slam dunk wrong right from the start, but I really don't think this was one of them.