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Old 08-12-2021, 12:57 AM   #238
SebC
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay Random View Post
There is no end. COVID is here to stay. It is already mutating out of control and will continue to do so. At some point it will be reclassified from a pandemic to an endemic disease (if sanity prevails), but the disease itself will not go away. That means that whatever ‘emergency’ measures you take now will become permanent unless the political will exists to revoke them.
There is one of three ends:

If R<<1, the end is that covid ends up like smallpox.
If R<1, the end is that covid ends up like measles, or the flu.
If R>1, the end is that everyone's infected, and a lot of people are dead.

Vaccines reduce R. Restricting the unvaccinated reduces R more than restricting the the vaccinated.

Choose your ending.
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