Quote:
Originally Posted by edslunch
Just a note for the advanced stat gurus here - you lose people when you jump straight to xGA/60 etc when rating a player. The only thing that matters in ice is actual results, like GA/60, so start there. That’s the fact. Now dig deeper with advanced stats to evaluate the actual number - do they suggest that performance is representative and sustainable or not.
Remember that stats are useful for supporting the drunk but the drunk is the only thing that is real.
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The problem with just looking at GA/60 though is that you can't isolate what happens on the ice because the goaltender is a big variable.
xGA60 lets you see what should have happened under the average or normal outcome based on what was given up when player x was on the ice.
If a goalie stands on his head when say Nurse is on the ice he may have a respectable GA60 but playing terribly and getting bailed out by his goaltender.