Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
I share your lack of confidence in the stats.
However, I have watched more than enough of Nurse to know that the stats got it right here, even if they did so purely by chance
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Totally agree.... I remember when we all thought the Giordano contract was too long.... now I don't think Nurse has the same workout regiment and I don't think he's like Mark in other ways too, but the Oilers can only hope that the contract ages as well as Giordano's did.
For some reason.... the Oilers always overpay.... I though it was Chiarelli and his throwing around money that wasn't his, but maybe I'm wrong, maybe it's someone higher up the chain that's making the decisions over there - I think somehow they think that by paying someone 9 million, that they get an asset worth 9 million, and not one worth 6 million that has been overpaid.
You can go through their lineup and see many of these overpayments... exclude free agent signings (they always seem too high for every team). Sometimes it's workout, like with Draisaitl and even McDavid, but I think Draisaitl would have taken 7 to 7.5 million back then (maybe the Oilers have truly bought into the Oilers tax). Koskinen - would have signed for 3 million if it was another team I thought back then... about the same size contract as we gave Big Save Dave - very comparable back then. Kris Russell's four million contract was about 1 million too high. Nurse's new contract is at least 2 million too high.
So maybe the Oilers tax is real.... 1 million for lower value contracts and 2-3 million for higher ones.