Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
Because I have. And most people have no idea how difficult it actually is. I take that back - they are easy to create - but how difficult it is to actually create useful models that do what you want them to do.
Any model will spit out results. And, assuming your inputs and variables are relevant to the subject, the model will spit out results that appear to be doing what the model is intended to do.
However, proving that the results are valid is the hard part.
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Good stuff. Modeling chaos is difficult to impossible. The problem is that the inputs and variables used in hockey statistics are many times not representative of the behavior being modeled and as a result produce inconsistent or invalid results. Providing consistency and validity is the toughest part of modeling any behavior and why so many studies and models fail.