Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
Way too simplistic of a view - and molded to fit a narrative.
3rd and 4th round picks produce a player in 4 or 5 years (if at all). It is almost impossible to predict where any franchise will be in 4 or 5 years. It s also impossible to predict how many draft picks they will acquire or trade away over that time.
In this case, the Flames traded a 3rd round pick next year (potential player in 2025 or 2026) for a 3rd round pick in 2015 who is on the verge of becoming an NHLer this year.
Trying to paint a negative slant on that is a pure exercise in blind bias.
Was trading a pick for Kipper part of the constant cycle of the Flames trying to become mediocre?
|
Obviously sometimes you win a trade, but I would claim it's fairly obvious that your chances of getting more than you paid for keep dropping the more years a prospect/player has.
You get more of a sure thing that's closer to ready, but you pay for that by missing out on the chance of getting someone much better.
Not necessarily for goalies, they're pretty much just voodoo, so sometimes you do get a Kipper, but other than that you typically just get what you pay for. That's why we have rebuilds. Building through the draft is high risk high reward game which fails for most teams. Building through trades is more of a low risk low reward game.
Obviously in real life you have to do a bit of both.