Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
The problem is that even if the Canucks didn't match (and they probably would), this is a terrible idea for the team proposing the offer sheet.
The picks are worth about 10 wins of value combined. Pettersson is going to be worth about 3 wins a year, projected. So you've now gained a net of 1 win per year for 5 years, and have tied up $10 million in cap space to do so. That's a really inefficient way to use that money.
It's not just collusion that keeps people from tendering offer sheets, it's actually really hard to put one together that's going to wind up being a good bet.
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If the value of 2 1sts, a 2nd, and a 3rd is 3 times the value of Pettersson, then those picks are being overvalued.
Also, it is impossible to know what the picks are worth without knowing where in the 1st round they fall. Two late round 1sts aren't worth anything close to Pettersson, and every GM in the league would instantly trade them for him.
If they were early 1sts (both top 10 and possibly top 3), then you have a very different conversation.
But any team offer-sheeting Pettersson is probably a team that is competitive now. And of course, adding Pettersson only makes them that much more competitive, reducing the value of those picks.