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Old 07-20-2021, 04:24 AM   #429
Jay Random
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Join Date: Aug 2005
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ro View Post
This was one of the first things I googled:

https://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/...l-draft-picks/



Looks like about a 20% chance that a mid-3rd plays more than 100 games, and a 15% chance a mid-3rd plays more than 200 games.
Both sets of data can be valid. Games played tend to follow a Pareto distribution, so while only a small percentage of third-round picks play more than 100 games, a few of them play a whole lot more than 100, which drags the mean up.
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