Quote:
Originally Posted by CASe333
I think both opinions are right to a certain extent.
As DrunkUncle noted it's foolish to trade a player who has consistently put up points for 2nd + 3rd draft picks. There just aren't enough of these players available to take on the risk of two magic beans turning into a comparable player. When trading a player like Arvidsson (0.62pt/GP + still young) you should always make sure you are getting a comparable player back in return rather than go for the magic bean approach or trading for a star past their prime. Using the %s in op times the amount of draft positions in that percentile results in just 3.57 players being drafted per year that meet the 0.78pt/GP threshold. For the 0.59pt/GP threshold on average only 11.1 players are drafted per year. Looking at the worst trades in NHL history its often a package of journeymen + later round draft picks traded for a superstar that looks really bad historically.
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That might be true in a vacuum, but we don't actually live in one. It's a salary-cap world in an expansion draft year, which makes trading a player like Arvidsson for picks a good deal, imo:
1) It frees up cap space in a flat-cap environment.
2) Arvidsson really does appear to be on the decline since his injury after the Bortuzzo cheap-shot
3) It frees up an expansion draft slot or at least gives the Preds assets, since it wasn't even sure they were going to protect Arvidsson anyway. The Athletic suggested they would go the eight skater route so they could protect Ekholm, Josi, Fabbro, Ellis, and Carrier on the blueline, and Scissons, Forsberg, and Kunin up front. Trading Arvidsson means the best player the Preds can lose is probably one of Jarnkrok, Johansen, or Duchesne, which isn't bad at all.