I hate picking players with low ceilings in the first round. Even if they're otherwise all-around and would be great on the lower lines.
If someone projects to be a great third liner, the best case scenario is that you barely break even in terms of value for your late 1st round pick. How many 3rd line forwards in the NHL are worth a late 1st in the first place? Only the best.
If you're drafting in the first round, you must draft someone who can conceivably a top 6 forward,, a top 4 defensemen, or a 1A goalie. Otherwise the payoff just isn't there. Add the fact that depth players can easily be signed or acquired, and it makes even less sense.
Potential. That's the name of the game.
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