Concacaf qualifying does cut both ways. Costa Rica for example has won 1 international game in the last 2 years because they get byes through all the earlier rounds.
Its hard to know what form any of Honduras, Jamaica and Costa Rica are in since they've barely played since Covid outside of some random friendlies. Canada's won more games in the past 2 months than these teams have played in 2 years.
Fifa rankings have Canada 7 of 8 (ahead of Panama). Elo rankings have Canada 3 of 8 (behind Mexico and US).
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