For sure there are way more Oiler fans in Alberta than Flames fans. Up north, it's almost exclusively Oiler fans. In the south, I'd say the mix is 50/50 at best, with probably a slight lean towards the Oilers as well. Even now, there would be way more chances of a young kid idolizing McDavid or Draisaitl over any of the players on the Flames, so I don't see this changing anytime soon.
All this is just anecdotal from my observations, mind you.
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